How it finished
Fenerbahce and AS Roma drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AS Roma at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Fenerbahce had 11 shots (5 on target) to AS Roma's 8 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won Fenerbahce vs AS Roma?
Fenerbahce and AS Roma drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured AS Roma at 39% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 26%. It forecast 3.0 goals; only 2 were scored. Fenerbahce had 11 shots (5 on target) to AS Roma's 8 (3), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 0.5.
What was the final score in Fenerbahce vs AS Roma?
Fenerbahce 1–1 AS Roma, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fenerbahce 35%, the draw 26% and AS Roma 39%.
What were the stats in Fenerbahce vs AS Roma?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–0.5, Shots 11–8, Shots on target 5–3, Shots inside box 9–6, Big chances 3–1, Corners 1–3, Saves 2–4, Fouls 12–19, Offsides 1–0, Yellow cards 4–2.
Did both teams score in Fenerbahce vs AS Roma?
Yes — both Fenerbahce and AS Roma scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 61% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fenerbahce vs AS Roma right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said AS Roma or draw 65%, it finished Draw (26% called); Total goals — we said 3.0, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 61%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 80%, it finished Landed.