FT · Italy: Serie A · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Como 0–0 AS RomaMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Como or draw at 69%. Bawler had Como at 42%, the draw at 27% and AS Roma at 31%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Como win
42%
Draw
27%
Result
AS Roma win
31%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.3
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.4 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 2.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Como or draw
Pre-match: 69%
Landed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 52%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 30%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.