FT · Turkey: Süper Lig · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Caykur Rizespor 0–3 FenerbahceMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Fenerbahce or draw at 76%. Bawler had Caykur Rizespor at 24%, the draw at 24% and Fenerbahce at 51%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
Caykur Rizespor win
24%
Draw
24%
Fenerbahce win
51%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 1.8
Total 3.0
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (−0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 1.0
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 80%
Landed
Medium confidence
Fenerbahce to win
Pre-match: 51%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 35%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.