What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Bawler's model rates this match: Crystal Palace are favoured (64% win probability vs 15% for Middlesbrough, 22% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Crystal Palace 2-0 Middlesbrough (11.1% probability). Expected total goals: 2.93.
How does Bawler predict Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Crystal Palace 64%, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 15%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
BTTS: Yes (51% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 2.05 and away expected goals 0.88.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.93. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).