How it finished
Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3–0. Bawler's model had Crystal Palace in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Crystal Palace had 8 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 16 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.0.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Crystal Palace beat Middlesbrough 3–0. Bawler's model had Crystal Palace in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. Crystal Palace had 8 shots (5 on target) to Middlesbrough's 16 (4), with 41% of the ball against 59%. Expected goals finished 1.3 to 1.0.
What was the final score in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Crystal Palace 3–0 Middlesbrough, played on 08 Sept 2026 in the England: EFL Cup. Bawler's model had gone into it with Crystal Palace 64%, the draw 22% and Middlesbrough 15%.
What were the stats in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
Full-time: Possession 41%–59%, Expected goals (xG) 1.3–1.0, Shots 8–16, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 4–9, Big chances 2–1, Corners 1–6, Saves 4–2, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 2–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough?
No. It finished 3–0, so Middlesbrough failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 51% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Crystal Palace vs Middlesbrough right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Crystal Palace to win 64%, it finished Crystal Palace won (64% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 51%, it finished No.