FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Birmingham City 2–2 MiddlesbroughMatch recap · Saturday, 19 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Birmingham City win
34%
Draw
27%
Result
Middlesbrough win
38%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 1.4
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.1 – 1.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.