FT · England: Championship · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Middlesbrough 4–3 Norwich CityMatch recap · Saturday, 12 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Middlesbrough win
54%
Result
Draw
25%
Norwich City win
21%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.0
Total 2.8
Actual
4 – 3
Total 7 (+4.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.1 – 1.6
From the match itself
The match produced 4.2 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.