FT · England: Championship · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Middlesbrough 2–2 MillwallMatch recap · Tuesday, 15 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Middlesbrough win
50%
Draw
26%
Result
Millwall win
24%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 1.1
Total 2.7
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 1.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.