Bawler's pick
3 legs, built by our modelToo close to call the result, so we back the game to be busy: shots, corners and efforts on target.
Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion prediction
Swansea City are favourites on our numbers: 40% to win, against 33% for West Bromwich Albion and 28% for a draw. Our predicted score is Swansea City 1–0 West Bromwich Albion: the most likely score if Swansea City win, at 10%. Swansea City are expected to score 1.4 goals and West Bromwich Albion 1.2, 2.6 between them. Both teams scoring is 54% and three or more goals comes in at 49%.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Swansea City have won one, West Bromwich Albion two, and two were drawn. When they last met, it finished Swansea City 2–2 West Bromwich Albion, in Jan 2026. On form, Swansea City have three wins, no draws and three defeats from their last six games, and West Bromwich Albion have four wins, two draws and no defeats.
Adam Idah is the player we expect to shoot most: 2.7 shots and 1.1 on target for Swansea City, if they start. For cards, Harry Whitwell (West Bromwich Albion) has been booked once every 2 games in 2026/27, more often than anyone else here. On shots, our forecast is 13.5 for Swansea City and 12.2 for West Bromwich Albion, with 3.7 and 3.4 on target, and corners at 4.8 to 4.3. Bawler's pick for this game is Over 21.5 Total Shots, Over 6.5 Total Corners and Over 4.5 Total Shots on Target. Our model gives all three landing together a 57% chance, which makes the fair price 8/11 (1.75).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most shots
Shots we expect them to takeMost on target
Shots on target we expectMost booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Swansea City · last 6
West Bromwich Albion · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Swansea City or draw is 67% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
Championship table →Common questions
Who will win Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Bawler's model rates this match: Swansea City are favoured (40% win probability vs 33% for West Bromwich Albion, 28% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Bawler's predicted score is Swansea City 1-0 West Bromwich Albion: the most likely score if Swansea City win, which is the likeliest result (40%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.8%. Expected total goals: 2.6.
How does Bawler predict Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Swansea City 40%, the draw 28% and West Bromwich Albion 33%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 54% chance. That is based on Swansea City expecting 1.40 goals and West Bromwich Albion 1.24.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Swansea City vs West Bromwich Albion?
Bawler's model expects 2.6 goals in total. It leans slightly towards two goals or fewer: over 2.5 goals is 49%.
When are the Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Swansea City v West Bromwich Albion?
Over 21.5 Total Shots (77%), Over 6.5 Total Corners (77%), Over 4.5 Total Shots on Target (81%). Our model gives all 3 landing together a 57% chance, a fair price of 8/11 (1.75). 18+, please gamble responsibly.