Bawler's pick
4 legs, built by our modelAn open game: both sides to score, with Lucas Stassin and Antony both getting shots away.
Sevilla v Real Betis prediction
Real Betis are narrow favourites on our numbers, at 38%. Sevilla are 34%, and the draw 27%. If you want one score, our predicted score is Sevilla 0–1 Real Betis, the most likely Real Betis win (9%). Our expected goals are 1.3 for Sevilla and 1.4 for Real Betis, 2.7 in all. Both teams scoring is 56% and three or more goals is 52%.
On shots, our forecast is 12.1 for Sevilla and 13.5 for Real Betis, with 3.9 and 4.1 on target, and corners at 4.6 to 4.0. Of the players, Antony of Real Betis tops our shots forecast at 2.7, if they start. Troy Parrott (Real Betis) leads for shots on target, at 1.2. For cards, Peque Fernández (Sevilla) has been booked about once a game in 2025/26, more often than anyone else here.
Of their last five meetings on our records, Sevilla have won one, Real Betis two, and two were drawn. When they last met, it finished Real Betis 2–2 Sevilla, in Mar 2026. Sevilla come in with two wins, two draws and two defeats in their last six. Real Betis have three wins, one draw and two defeats over the same run. Bawler's pick combines Both Teams to Score, Over 20.5 Total Shots, Lucas Stassin 1+ Shot and Antony 1+ Shot. We make the chance of all four coming in 43%, a fair price of 5/4 (2.30).
Written from the numbers on this page. These are forecasts, not certainties. 18+ Please gamble responsibly. BeGambleAware.org
Players to watch
Numbers are if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff.
Most booked
Games per booking, from their latest season — a record, not a forecastWhat we expect from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
More chances
Sevilla · last 6
Real Betis · last 6
League position
Head to head
First half — what we expect
First-half chances
How likely each side is to reach these totals before half-time.
Second half — who scores?
At half-time we update each side’s chance of scoring in the second half from what the first half showed.
What would change the call
Real Betis or draw is 66% now. Here is what it would become at half-time:
Based on the half-time score alone — team news is not included.
Player forecasts
Shots we expect from each player if they start — lineups land about an hour before kickoff. From 2025/26–2026/27, all club matches.
1 in 3 = booked about once every three games last time out — a record, not a forecast. Players with fewer minutes are pulled toward the league average, so a small sample never reads as a certainty.
Around this fixture
LaLiga table →Common questions
Who will win Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Bawler's model rates this match: Real Betis are favoured (38% win probability vs 34% for Sevilla, 27% draw). The model uses each side’s expected goals, recent form and the strength of the opposition.
What is the predicted score for Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Bawler's predicted score is Sevilla 0-1 Real Betis: the most likely score if Real Betis win, which is the likeliest result (38%). Our model puts that exact score at 9.0%. Expected total goals: 2.7.
How does Bawler predict Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Bawler estimates each side's expected goals from its results and the quality of its chances, adjusted for the strength of the opposition and for home advantage, then works out the chance of every scoreline to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. Team news and lineups are not built into these numbers. For this match that gives Sevilla 34%, the draw 27% and Real Betis 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Probably — Bawler's model gives both teams scoring a 56% chance. That is based on Sevilla expecting 1.32 goals and Real Betis 1.41.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Sevilla vs Real Betis?
Bawler's model expects 2.7 goals in total. It leans slightly towards three or more goals: over 2.5 goals is 52%.
When are the Sevilla v Real Betis line-ups announced?
Clubs usually name their line-ups about an hour before kickoff.
What is Bawler's pick for Sevilla v Real Betis?
Both Teams to Score (56%), Over 20.5 Total Shots (81%), Lucas Stassin 1+ Shot (85%), Antony 1+ Shot (90%). Our model gives all 4 landing together a 43% chance, a fair price of 5/4 (2.30). 18+, please gamble responsibly.