Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes prediction — MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 02:30 UK

MLS · Thu 15 Oct · 02:30 UK
39Real Salt Lake win24Draw36San Jose Earthquakes win
Full time
1–1

How it finished

Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (8 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 16 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.

Real Salt…Full-time statsSan Jose…
51%Possession49%
1.9Expected goals (xG)1.2
22Shots16
8Shots on target2
13Shots inside box11
3Big chances2
5Corners5
1Saves6
11Fouls9
2Offsides1
1Yellow cards0
We predicted
2–1
Likeliest score if Real Salt Lake win (8%). Single likeliest exact score: 1–1 (11%)
Expected goals
1.7v1.6
3.3 in total
Both teams score
65%
Yes
3+ goals
64%
Likely

What we expected from each side

The grey number is their average over the last six.

Real Salt LakeReal Salt LakeSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1.7Goals1.6
15.4Shots13.5
5.7On target5.8
4.4Corners6.1
Real Salt LakeReal Salt LakeSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
0.9Goals0.7
7.2Shots6.4
2.8On target2.8
2.1Corners2.9
Real Salt LakeReal Salt LakeSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
0.8Goals0.9
8.1Shots7.1
2.8On target3.0
2.3Corners3.2

What we said the chances were

2 or more goals84%
Real Salt Lake to score82%
San Jose Earthquakes to score80%
Goal before half-time80%

First half — what we expected

Real Salt Lake
60%
to score before half-time
San Jose Earthquakes
49%
to score before half-time

First half — what we expected

How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.

Real Salt LakeReal Salt LakeSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
66%6+ shots57%
42%8+ shots33%
73%2+ shots on target72%
32%4+ shots on target30%
57%2+ corners72%
18%4+ corners32%

League position

San Jose Earthquakes in their league tableUpper half

Head to head

Oct 2026Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes
Jul 2025Real Salt Lake 2–1 San Jose Earthquakes
Feb 2025San Jose Earthquakes 4–0 Real Salt Lake
Oct 2024San Jose Earthquakes 0–1 Real Salt Lake
Aug 2024Real Salt Lake 0–2 San Jose Earthquakes
Full-time recap →
Every Bawler's pick is logged before kickoff · Bawler's pick record →

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →Real Salt Lake form →San Jose Earthquakes form →

Common questions

Who won Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (8 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 16 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.

What was the final score in Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 39%, the draw 24% and San Jose Earthquakes 36%.

What were the stats in Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.2, Shots 22–16, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 13–11, Big chances 3–2, Corners 5–5, Saves 1–6, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–0.

Did both teams score in Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes?

Yes — both Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.