Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (8 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 16 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1–1. Real Salt Lake had 22 shots (8 on target) to San Jose Earthquakes' 16 (2), with 51% of the ball against 49%. Expected goals finished 1.9 to 1.2.
Real Salt Lake 1–1 San Jose Earthquakes, played on 15 Oct 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 39%, the draw 24% and San Jose Earthquakes 36%.
Full-time: Possession 51%–49%, Expected goals (xG) 1.9–1.2, Shots 22–16, Shots on target 8–2, Shots inside box 13–11, Big chances 3–2, Corners 5–5, Saves 1–6, Fouls 11–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 1–0.
Yes — both Real Salt Lake and San Jose Earthquakes scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.