Genoa beat Fiorentina 2–1. Genoa had 10 shots (4 on target) to Fiorentina's 13 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Genoa beat Fiorentina 2–1. Genoa had 10 shots (4 on target) to Fiorentina's 13 (3), with 37% of the ball against 63%. Expected goals finished 1.4 to 1.0.
Genoa 2–1 Fiorentina, played on 10 Oct 2026 in the Italy: Serie A. Bawler's model had gone into it with Genoa 35%, the draw 27% and Fiorentina 38%.
Full-time: Possession 37%–63%, Expected goals (xG) 1.4–1.0, Shots 10–13, Shots on target 4–3, Shots inside box 7–10, Big chances 3–0, Corners 3–4, Saves 3–2, Fouls 11–10, Offsides 2–2, Yellow cards 5–3.
Yes — both Genoa and Fiorentina scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 55% before kickoff.