Bawler / EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs / Freiburg
Team profile · EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs

Freiburg Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
7
7 settled
Goals for
1.40
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.45
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
100%
7/7 calls

Freiburg prediction: Bawler's model rates Freiburg at 1.40 expected goals scored and 1.45 conceded per match across 7 settled fixtures, and its high-confidence calls on them have been correct 100% of the time. They have won 3 of their last 5 settled matches. No Freiburg fixture falls inside the next 30 days — the next one will be forecast here as soon as it is scheduled. Full form, recent scoring and defending trend and every settled prediction are below.

Freiburg sit close to the Europa League - Play Offs average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.40 expected goals a game and conceding 1.45. They have been finishing above their chances, scoring 2.43 a game against 1.40 expected. Across 7 settled fixtures the model's high-confidence calls on Freiburg have been correct 100% of the time.

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 0D 2L
Real goals
2.4 – 1.6
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Freiburg compare with the EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs average, per match.

Goals for
1.40
Above average
Goals against
1.45
Tighter than most
Scored1.40
Conceded1.45

The grey line on each bar is the EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs average (1.31 scored, 1.48 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Freiburg fixtures (6/6).

📊 Freiburg in numbers

49 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.4
🏠 2.0✈️ 1.1
4.1
Corners · per game
give up 4.3
🏠 4.5✈️ 3.8
12.5
Shots · per game
faced 13.3
🏠 14.8✈️ 10.0
4.5
On target · per game
faced 4.3
🏠 5.3✈️ 3.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
20 May
0-3
vs Aston Villa
🚩 1-8
16 May
4-1
vs RB Leipzig
🚩 1-2
10 May
2-3
@ Hamburger SV
🚩 4-2
07 May
3-1
vs Braga
🚩 4-8
03 May
1-1
vs Wolfsburg
🚩 1-7
30 Apr
1-2
@ Braga
🚩 1-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Freiburg matches
100%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 7

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Freiburg fixture, it is right 7 out of 7 (100%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Recent matches (last 7)

Transfer activity

INMio BackhausGKfrom Werder Bremen€12m
INKeisuke GotoSTfrom Anderlecht€10m
INYannik EngelhardtDMfrom Como€7m
INRihito YamamotoDMfrom St.Truiden€7m
OUTJohan ManzambiDMto Aston Villa€60m
OUTMerlin RöhlRWto Everton€25m
OUTRobert WagnerDMto Dynamo Dresden€850k
OUTChukwubuike AdamuSTto Schalke 04€800k
OUTAlessio BesioLWto WolfsburgUndisclosed
OUTNoah WeisshauptRWto Darmstadt€500k
OUTDavid Amegnagloto Westerlo€320k
OUTYann SturmLWto Eintracht BraunschweigUndisclosed

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Freiburg prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly