Blackburn Rovers beat Bristol City 1–0. Bristol City had 20 shots (7 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 3 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.2, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Blackburn Rovers beat Bristol City 1–0. Bristol City had 20 shots (7 on target) to Blackburn Rovers' 3 (1), with 56% of the ball against 44%. On expected goals it was 1.7 to 0.2, so Bristol City created the better chances and still lost the game.
Bristol City 0–1 Blackburn Rovers, played on 13 Oct 2026 in the England: Championship. Bawler's model had gone into it with Bristol City 42%, the draw 27% and Blackburn Rovers 31%.
Full-time: Possession 56%–44%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.2, Shots 20–3, Shots on target 7–1, Shots inside box 14–2, Big chances 2–0, Corners 10–5, Saves 0–7, Fouls 8–7, Offsides 3–5.
No. It finished 0–1, so Bristol City failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.