How it finished
Philadelphia Union beat San Diego FC 5–0. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Philadelphia Union 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. San Diego FC had 10 shots (5 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 21 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.6.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Philadelphia Union beat San Diego FC 5–0. Bawler's model favoured San Diego FC at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Philadelphia Union 35%. It forecast 3.3 goals; the match produced 5. San Diego FC had 10 shots (5 on target) to Philadelphia Union's 21 (5), with 58% of the ball against 42%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.6.
What was the final score in San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union?
San Diego FC 0–5 Philadelphia Union, played on 14 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with San Diego FC 40%, the draw 24% and Philadelphia Union 35%.
What were the stats in San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union?
Full-time: Possession 58%–42%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.6, Shots 10–21, Shots on target 5–5, Shots inside box 9–13, Big chances 2–5, Corners 11–4, Saves 1–5, Fouls 13–15, Offsides 1–1, Yellow cards 2–2.
Did both teams score in San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union?
No. It finished 0–5, so San Diego FC failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for San Diego FC vs Philadelphia Union right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said San Diego FC or draw 65%, it finished Philadelphia Union won (35% called); Total goals — we said 3.3, it finished 5; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 84%, it finished Landed.