FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Sporting Kansas City 3–4 Philadelphia UnionMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Sporting Kansas City win
18%
Draw
20%
Philadelphia Union win
61%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.2 – 2.3
Total 3.5
Actual
3 – 4
Total 7 (+3.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.7
From the match itself
The match produced 3.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.