FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Philadelphia Union 4–2 Orlando City SCMatch recap · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Philadelphia Union win
60%
Result
Draw
20%
Orlando City SC win
20%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.4 – 1.3
Total 3.7
Actual
4 – 2
Total 6 (+2.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.9 – 1.1
From the match itself
The match produced 2.3 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.