Real Salt Lake beat New England Revolution 3–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Salt Lake 37%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 9 shots (6 on target) to New England Revolution's 16 (4), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
The grey number is their average over the last six.
Each bar is split by each side's share of the total.
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
Real Salt Lake beat New England Revolution 3–0. Bawler's model favoured New England Revolution at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Real Salt Lake 37%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Real Salt Lake had 9 shots (6 on target) to New England Revolution's 16 (4), with 33% of the ball against 67%. Expected goals finished 1.8 to 1.2.
Real Salt Lake 3–0 New England Revolution, played on 27 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Real Salt Lake 37%, the draw 25% and New England Revolution 38%.
Full-time: Possession 33%–67%, Expected goals (xG) 1.8–1.2, Shots 9–16, Shots on target 6–4, Shots inside box 7–8, Big chances 5–1, Corners 1–11, Saves 4–3, Fouls 8–14, Offsides 0–2, Yellow cards 2–2.
No. It finished 3–0, so New England Revolution failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New England Revolution or draw 63%, it finished Real Salt Lake won (37% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 62%, it finished No; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 82%, it finished Landed.