Bawler / USA: MLS / New England Revolution
Team profile · USA: MLS

New England Revolution Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
12
11 settled
Goals for
1.35
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.37
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
55%
6/11 calls

New England Revolution prediction: for New England Revolution's next match — Toronto vs New England Revolution on Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Toronto are favoured (40%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

New England Revolution sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.35 expected goals a game and conceding 1.37. Next up is a trip to Toronto FC, where the model has them as underdogs at 28%.

Next match

Away vs Toronto · Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win
28%
This team
Draw
32%
Loss
40%
Toronto
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 79%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
5W 2D 4L
Real goals
1.3 – 1.4
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How New England Revolution compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.35
Below average
Goals against
1.37
Tighter than most
Scored1.35
Conceded1.37

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

📊 New England Revolution in numbers

45 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.3
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.2✈️ 1.4
5.1
Corners · per game
give up 4.8
🏠 5.6✈️ 4.5
11.9
Shots · per game
faced 14.0
🏠 11.6✈️ 12.3
4.2
On target · per game
faced 4.6
🏠 4.0✈️ 4.5
🗓️ Last 6 games
08 Aug
0-2
vs Houston Dynamo
🚩 9-4
01 Aug
2-2
@ CF Montréal
🚩 3-6
25 Jul
4-1
vs Atlanta Utd
🚩 4-6
22 Jul
0-0
vs Toronto
🚩 7-9
23 May
0-1
@ Charlotte
🚩 4-3
16 May
2-1
vs Minnesota United
🚩 8-11

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on New England Revolution matches
55%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a New England Revolution fixture, it is right 6 out of 11 (55%). This sits below the cross-league baseline — the model finds this team harder to read than most. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on New England Revolution by market
Goals (Over/Under)57%4/7
Result50%2/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on New England Revolution fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for New England Revolution matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INJack HarrisonRWfrom Leeds UnitedUndisclosed
INCody BakerRBfrom Seattle Sounders FCLoan
INWilson HarrisSTfrom Free agentFree transfer
INMarcos ZambranoSTfrom Real Salt LakeLoan
OUTAllan OyirwothCMto Dunfermline AthleticLoan
OUTBrayan CeballosCBto CF Montreal€660k
OUTMalcolm FryRWto LexingtonLoan
OUTKeegan HughesCBto Birmingham Legion FCLoan
OUTTomás ChancalayLWto Minnesota United€85k

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

New England Revolution prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly