FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 20 September 2026
New England Revolution 4–2 Orlando City SCMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
New England Revolution win
52%
Result
Draw
22%
Orlando City SC win
26%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.1 – 1.4
Total 3.5
Actual
4 – 2
Total 6 (+2.5 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 1.4
From the match itself
The match produced 2.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.