FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 11 October 2026
New England Revolution 0–3 Seattle Sounders FCMatch recap & how our call landed · Sunday, 11 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call missed
Before kickoff our call was New England Revolution or draw at 71%. Bawler had New England Revolution at 46%, the draw at 25% and Seattle Sounders FC at 29%. The match finished 0–3.
Pre-match probability vs result
New England Revolution win
46%
Draw
25%
Seattle Sounders FC win
29%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.3
Total 3.1
Actual
0 – 3
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 1.2
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 81%
Landed
Medium confidence
New England Revolution or draw
Pre-match: 71%
Missed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 37%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.