England: ChampionshipTuesday 01 Sept, 18:45 UTC
Portsmouthv Derby County prediction
The model's call
50%
Portsmouth win
Most likely scoreline 1–0 (13% of the time) · 2.49 goals expected
Portsmouth 50%Draw 27%Derby County 23%
Early projection
These are the model's current numbers for a fixture that hasn't come round yet. They firm up on matchday, once team news and lineups are in — and once the model's call is locked it's never edited, which is what makes the track record mean anything.
What the counted stats say
Portsmouth average 6.3 corners per game at home this season (23 competitive matches). Derby average 3.7 corners per game away from home this season (23 competitive matches).
More predictions for these teams
Model estimates from rolling expected goals — not guaranteed outcomes. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results.