FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Charlton Athletic 21 Derby CountyMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Charlton Athletic
21
Charlton Athletic win
Derby County
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it

Pre-match, Bawler had Charlton Athletic at 43%, draw at 33%, Derby County at 24%. The match ended 2-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Charlton Athletic.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Athletic win
43%
Actual ✓
Draw
33%
County win
24%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
1X
Pre-match: 77%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 54%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
Away Win
Pre-match: 20%
✗ Lost

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