FT · ENGLAND: Championship · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Portsmouth 1–3 Queens Park RangersMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 15 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had Portsmouth at 50%, draw at 32%, Queens Park Rangers at 18%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-3. The model's headline call was Portsmouth to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Portsmouth win
50%
Draw
32%
Rangers win
18%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 75%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
BTTS No
Pre-match: 54%
✗ Lost
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 29%
✓ Won