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Who will win Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal?
Bawler's model rates this match: Philadelphia Union are favoured (58% win probability vs 19% for CF Montréal, 23% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is Philadelphia Union 1-1 CF Montréal (10.6% probability). Expected total goals: 3.03.
How does Bawler predict Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives Philadelphia Union 58%, the draw 23% and CF Montréal 19%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal?
BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.98 and away expected goals 1.05.
Over or under 2.5 goals in Philadelphia Union vs CF Montréal?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.03. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).