Bawler / USA: MLS / CF Montréal
Team profile · USA: MLS

CF Montréal Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
11
10 settled
Goals for
1.44
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.40
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
70%
7/10 calls

CF Montréal prediction: for CF Montréal's next match — CF Montréal vs D.C. United on Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it a CF Montréal win looks most likely (39%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

CF Montréal sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.44 expected goals a game and conceding 1.40. They have struggled lately, losing 2 of their last 5. Next up is D.C. United, where the model makes this close to a coin toss at 39%.

Next match

Home vs D.C. United · Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win
39%
CF Montréal
Draw
31%
Loss
30%
D.C. United
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 84%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
1W 4D 5L
Real goals
1.4 – 1.9
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How CF Montréal compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.44
Below average
Goals against
1.40
Tighter than most
Scored1.44
Conceded1.40

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Model is strongest on: Result
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on CF Montréal fixtures (4/4).

📊 CF Montréal in numbers

44 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.1
Goals · per game
let in 1.8
🏠 0.9✈️ 1.3
5.3
Corners · per game
give up 4.1
🏠 5.8✈️ 4.8
12.4
Shots · per game
faced 13.5
🏠 13.5✈️ 11.1
4.4
On target · per game
faced 4.9
🏠 4.5✈️ 4.2
🗓️ Last 6 games
01 Aug
2-2
vs New England Revolution
🚩 6-3
25 Jul
0-1
vs Inter Miami
🚩 5-6
23 Jul
0-1
@ Nashville
🚩 2-3
16 Jul
0-0
vs Toronto
🚩 9-3
23 May
4-4
@ D.C. United
🚩 4-6
16 May
0-2
vs Chicago Fire
🚩 16-3

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on CF Montréal matches
70%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 10

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a CF Montréal fixture, it is right 7 out of 10 (70%). This is well above the cross-league baseline of ~65%. Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on CF Montréal by market
Goals (Over/Under)50%3/6
Result100%4/4

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on CF Montréal fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for CF Montréal matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INDaniel PereiraDMfrom Austin FC€1.8m
INBrayan VeraCBfrom Real Salt Lake€1.5m
INAlexis SánchezSTfrom Free agentFree transfer
INBrayan CeballosCBfrom New England Revolution€660k
INDagur ThórhallssonRBfrom Orlando City€430k
OUTAleksandr GubogloLBto ReimsLoan
OUTDagur ThórhallssonRBto San Diego FC€440k
OUTKwadwo OpokuLWto PanetolikosFree transfer

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

CF Montréal prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly