Osasuna vs Getafe prediction — LaLiga · Mon 31 Aug · 18:30 UK

LaLiga · Mon 31 Aug · 18:30 UK
Osasuna 48Draw 29Getafe 23
The call
77%
Osasuna or draw
2.2
Goals expected
Full time
Final 1–0

How it finished

Osasuna beat Getafe 1–0. Bawler's model had Osasuna in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Osasuna had 10 shots (2 on target) to Getafe's 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.

OsasunaFull-time statsGetafe
45%Possession55%
1.7Expected goals (xG)0.7
10Shots11
2Shots on target1
4Shots inside box7
3Big chances2
1Corners3
1Saves1
17Fouls14
1Offsides2
5Yellow cards4
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultOsasuna 48%Osasuna (48% called)
Total goals2.21
Both teams to score43%No
Model call1X 77%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Under 3.5 goals82%
Osasuna to score74%
Over 1.5 goals65%
Under 2.5 goals62%

First half — what we expected

OsasunaBefore half-timeGetafe
48%Chance to score31%
6.0Expected shots4.0
2.3Expected shots on target1.2
2.6Expected corners1.9
69%Chance of 5+ shots37%
39%Chance of 7+ shots13%
65%Chance of 1+ shots on target65%
39%Chance of 3+ shots on target11%
70%Chance of 2+ corners54%
27%Chance of 4+ corners14%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 64%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.5 / match
Head-to-head, last 5OSA 2 · D 1 · GET 2
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2026Getafe 1–0 Osasuna
Oct 2025Osasuna 2–1 Getafe
Mar 2025Osasuna 1–2 Getafe
Oct 2024Getafe 1–1 Osasuna
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Osasuna vs Getafe?

Osasuna beat Getafe 1–0. Bawler's model had Osasuna in front at 48% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 2.2 goals; only 1 was scored. Osasuna had 10 shots (2 on target) to Getafe's 11 (1), with 45% of the ball against 55%. Expected goals finished 1.7 to 0.7.

What was the final score in Osasuna vs Getafe?

Osasuna 1–0 Getafe, played on 31 Aug 2026 in the SPAIN: LaLiga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Osasuna 48%, the draw 29% and Getafe 23%.

What were the stats in Osasuna vs Getafe?

Full-time: Possession 45%–55%, Expected goals (xG) 1.7–0.7, Shots 10–11, Shots on target 2–1, Shots inside box 4–7, Big chances 3–2, Corners 1–3, Saves 1–1, Fouls 17–14, Offsides 1–2, Yellow cards 5–4.

Did both teams score in Osasuna vs Getafe?

No. It finished 1–0, so Getafe failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 43% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Osasuna vs Getafe right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Osasuna 48%, it finished Osasuna (48% called); Total goals — we said 2.2, it finished 1; Both teams to score — we said 43%, it finished No; Model call — we said 1X 77%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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