FT · SPAIN: LaLiga · Monday, 24 August 2026
Osasuna 0–0 LevanteMatch recap & how our call landed · Monday, 24 August 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Osasuna or draw at 75%. Bawler had Osasuna at 49%, the draw at 26% and Levante at 25%. The match finished 0–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Osasuna win
49%
Draw
26%
Result
Levante win
25%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.7 – 1.2
Total 2.8
Actual
0 – 0
Total 0 (−2.8 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.7 – 1.3
From the match itself
The match produced 2.8 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Over 1.5 goals
Pre-match: 77%
Missed
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 goals
Pre-match: 54%
Missed
Outside shot
Levante to win
Pre-match: 25%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.