FT · Spain: La Liga · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Atlético Madrid 4–0 OsasunaMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Atlético Madrid win
54%
Result
Draw
24%
Osasuna win
22%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.8 – 1.1
Total 2.9
Actual
4 – 0
Total 4 (+1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
4.0 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.