FT · Spain: La Liga · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Real Betis 1–0 GetafeMatch recap · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Real Betis win
54%
Result
Draw
27%
Getafe win
19%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.6 – 0.8
Total 2.4
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.4 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.5 – 0.3
From the match itself
The match produced 1.4 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.