How it finished
New England Revolution beat New York City FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured New York City FC at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. New York City FC had 18 shots (6 on target) to New England Revolution's 11 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.4.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 76%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Common questions
Who won New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
New England Revolution beat New York City FC 2–1. Bawler's model favoured New York City FC at 48% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 26%. It forecast 2.9 goals and the match produced 3. New York City FC had 18 shots (6 on target) to New England Revolution's 11 (6), with 65% of the ball against 35%. Expected goals finished 1.2 to 2.4.
What was the final score in New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
New York City FC 1–2 New England Revolution, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with New York City FC 48%, the draw 26% and New England Revolution 26%.
What were the stats in New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
Full-time: Possession 65%–35%, Expected goals (xG) 1.2–2.4, Shots 18–11, Shots on target 6–6, Shots inside box 9–9, Big chances 1–3, Corners 12–4, Saves 4–6, Fouls 5–10, Offsides 3–3, Yellow cards 0–2.
Did both teams score in New York City FC vs New England Revolution?
Yes — both New York City FC and New England Revolution scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 57% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for New York City FC vs New England Revolution right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said New York City FC or draw 74%, it finished New England Revolution won (26% called); Total goals — we said 2.9, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 57%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 78%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 55%, it finished Landed.