FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Atlanta United FC 2–2 New York City FCMatch recap · Sunday, 27 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Atlanta United FC win
38%
Draw
27%
Result
New York City FC win
36%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.4
Total 2.9
Actual
2 – 2
Total 4 (+1.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.0 – 0.8
From the match itself
The match produced 1.1 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.