How it finished
Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City 4–2. Manchester City had 27 shots (9 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 15 (10), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 2.6 to 1.8, so Manchester City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What we expected from each side
The grey number is their average over the last six.
What we said the chances were
First half — what we expected
First half — what we expected
How likely we said each side was to reach these totals before half-time.
League position
Head to head
Around this fixture
Premier League table →Ligue 1 table →Common questions
Who won Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Paris Saint-Germain beat Manchester City 4–2. Manchester City had 27 shots (9 on target) to Paris Saint-Germain's 15 (10), with 54% of the ball against 46%. On expected goals it was 2.6 to 1.8, so Manchester City created the better chances and still lost the game.
What was the final score in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Manchester City 2–4 Paris Saint-Germain, played on 14 Oct 2026 in the Europe: Champions League. Bawler's model had gone into it with Manchester City 52%, the draw 24% and Paris Saint-Germain 25%.
What were the stats in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Full-time: Possession 54%–46%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–1.8, Shots 27–15, Shots on target 9–10, Shots inside box 19–7, Big chances 6–4, Corners 11–2, Saves 6–6, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 2–0, Yellow cards 1–1.
Did both teams score in Manchester City vs Paris Saint-Germain?
Yes — both Manchester City and Paris Saint-Germain scored, finishing 2–4. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 62% before kickoff.