FT · England: EFL Cup · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Manchester City 5–0 Norwich CityMatch recap · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Manchester City win
80%
Result
Draw
13%
Norwich City win
6%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.8 – 0.7
Total 3.5
Actual
5 – 0
Total 5 (+1.5 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.5 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.