FT · France: Ligue 1 · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Marseille 1–2 Paris Saint-GermainMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Marseille win
25%
Draw
23%
Paris Saint-Germain win
52%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 2.0
Total 3.3
Actual
1 – 2
Total 3 (−0.3 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.8 – 4.4
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.3 of our 3.3.