FT · England: Premier League · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Aston Villa 2–1 Manchester CityMatch recap · Saturday, 24 October 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Aston Villa win
32%
Result
Draw
26%
Manchester City win
42%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.6
Total 3.0
Actual
2 – 1
Total 3 (−0.0 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.6 – 1.8
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.0 of our 3.0.