Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal prediction — MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 30 Aug · 00:30 UK
Inter Miami CF 64Draw 19CF Montréal 17
The call
64%
Inter Miami CF to win
3.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 7–1

How it finished

Inter Miami CF beat CF Montréal 7–1. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 8. Inter Miami CF had 20 shots (11 on target) to CF Montréal's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.9.

Inter MiamiFull-time statsCF Montréal
57%Possession43%
3.0Expected goals (xG)0.9
20Shots10
11Shots on target5
13Shots inside box8
7Big chances1
6Corners6
3Saves5
10Fouls11
0Offsides0
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultInter Miami CF 64%Inter Miami CF (64% called)
Total goals3.78
Both teams to score65%Yes
Model callHome Win 64%Landed
Second callOver 3.5 Goals 51%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
Inter Miami CF to score92%
Over 1.5 goals89%
Over 2.5 goals72%
CF Montréal to score71%

First half — what we expected

Inter Miami CFBefore half-timeCF Montréal
72%Chance to score40%
7.3Expected shots5.0
3.4Expected shots on target2.3
3.0Expected corners2.5
71%Chance of 6+ shots38%
44%Chance of 8+ shots15%
65%Chance of 2+ shots on target65%
44%Chance of 4+ shots on target20%
78%Chance of 2+ corners69%
35%Chance of 4+ corners26%

Chance of at least one first-half goal: 83%. Based on how often each side shoots and wins corners before the break, not a share of their full-match numbers.

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+1.3 / match
Head-to-head, last 5INT 4 · D 0 · MON 1
Opponent strength indexBottom quartile

Head to head

Jul 2026CF Montreal 0–1 Inter Miami CF
Jul 2025CF Montreal 1–4 Inter Miami CF
May 2025Inter Miami CF 4–2 CF Montreal
May 2024CF Montreal 2–3 Inter Miami CF
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Inter Miami CF beat CF Montréal 7–1. Bawler's model had Inter Miami CF in front at 64% before kickoff, and that is how it finished. It forecast 3.7 goals; the match produced 8. Inter Miami CF had 20 shots (11 on target) to CF Montréal's 10 (5), with 57% of the ball against 43%. Expected goals finished 3.0 to 0.9.

What was the final score in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Inter Miami CF 7–1 CF Montréal, played on 30 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with Inter Miami CF 64%, the draw 19% and CF Montréal 17%.

What were the stats in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Full-time: Possession 57%–43%, Expected goals (xG) 3.0–0.9, Shots 20–10, Shots on target 11–5, Shots inside box 13–8, Big chances 7–1, Corners 6–6, Saves 3–5, Fouls 10–11, Offsides 0–0, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal?

Yes — both Inter Miami CF and CF Montréal scored, finishing 7–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 65% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for Inter Miami CF vs CF Montréal right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said Inter Miami CF 64%, it finished Inter Miami CF (64% called); Total goals — we said 3.7, it finished 8; Both teams to score — we said 65%, it finished Yes; Model call — we said Home Win 64%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 3.5 Goals 51%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

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