FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 16 August 2026

CF Montréal 11 D.C. UnitedMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 16 August 2026

> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean

Pre-match, Bawler had CF Montréal at 39%, draw at 31%, D.C. United at 30%. Against expectation, the match finished 1-1. The model's headline call was CF Montréal to win.

> Pre-match probability vs result
Montréal win
39%
Draw
31%
Actual ✓
United win
30%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 84%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Away Win
Pre-match: 24%
✗ Lost

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