Getafe and Deportivo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Getafe at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 2. Getafe had 15 shots (4 on target) to Deportivo's 10 (3), with 36% of the ball against 64%.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 64%
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Getafe and Deportivo drew 1–1. Bawler's model favoured Getafe at 46% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave the draw 29%. It forecast 2.3 goals and the match produced 2. Getafe had 15 shots (4 on target) to Deportivo's 10 (3), with 36% of the ball against 64%.
Getafe 1–1 Deportivo, played on 13 Sept 2026 in the Spain: La Liga. Bawler's model had gone into it with Getafe 46%, the draw 29% and Deportivo 24%.
Full-time: Possession 36%–64%, Shots 15–10, Shots on target 4–3, Corners 3–7, Saves 2–3, Fouls 14–9, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–1.
Yes — both Getafe and Deportivo scored, finishing 1–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 45% before kickoff.
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Getafe or draw 76%, it finished Draw (29% called); Total goals — we said 2.3, it finished 2; Both teams to score — we said 45%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 66%, it finished Landed.