FT · Spain: La Liga · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Getafe 1–0 MálagaMatch recap · Sunday, 20 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Getafe win
45%
Result
Draw
30%
Málaga win
25%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.3 – 0.9
Total 2.2
Actual
1 – 0
Total 1 (−1.2 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
0.9 – 0.5
From the match itself
The match produced 1.2 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.