FT · Spain: La Liga · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Deportivo 0–1 SevillaMatch recap · Wednesday, 16 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Deportivo win
42%
Draw
27%
Sevilla win
30%
Result
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.5 – 1.2
Total 2.7
Actual
0 – 1
Total 1 (−1.7 against our forecast)
The match produced 1.7 fewer goals than we forecast. That can be wasteful finishing, strong goalkeeping or chances we over-rated.