FT · Spain: La Liga · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Barcelona 3–0 GetafeMatch recap & how our call landed · Saturday, 10 October 2026
Our call before kickoff
Our call landed
Before kickoff our call was Barcelona to win at 75%. Bawler had Barcelona at 75%, the draw at 17% and Getafe at 8%. The match finished 3–0.
Pre-match probability vs result
Barcelona win
75%
Result
Draw
17%
Getafe win
8%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
2.4 – 0.7
Total 3.1
Actual
3 – 0
Total 3 (−0.1 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
1.9 – 0.1
From the match itself
The match produced about as many goals as we forecast — within 0.1 of our 3.1.
Every graded pick · and how it landed
Graded pick · high confidence
Barcelona to win
Pre-match: 75%
Landed
Outside shot
Over 3.5 goals
Pre-match: 38%
Missed
Each pick's figure is the one published with it before kickoff. It comes from a separate calculation, so a pick on the result can show a different number from the win/draw/win split above.