How it finished
Besiktas beat Fenerbahce 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Besiktas 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Fenerbahce had 9 shots (2 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.7.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 78%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?
Besiktas beat Fenerbahce 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Fenerbahce at 55% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave Besiktas 22%. It forecast 3.1 goals and the match produced 3. Fenerbahce had 9 shots (2 on target) to Besiktas' 14 (6), with 50% of the ball against 50%. Expected goals finished 0.5 to 1.7.
What was the final score in Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?
Fenerbahce 1–2 Besiktas, played on 05 Sept 2026 in the Turkey: Süper Lig. Bawler's model had gone into it with Fenerbahce 55%, the draw 23% and Besiktas 22%.
What were the stats in Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?
Full-time: Possession 50%–50%, Expected goals (xG) 0.5–1.7, Shots 9–14, Shots on target 2–6, Shots inside box 3–9, Big chances 1–4, Corners 2–7, Saves 4–1, Fouls 18–21, Offsides 2–4, Yellow cards 4–3.
Did both teams score in Fenerbahce vs Besiktas?
Yes — both Fenerbahce and Besiktas scored, finishing 1–2. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 58% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for Fenerbahce vs Besiktas right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Fenerbahce or draw 78%, it finished Besiktas won (22% called); Total goals — we said 3.1, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 58%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 81%, it finished Landed.