FT · Europe: Europa League · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Besiktas 4–1 MarseilleMatch recap · Thursday, 17 September 2026
Pre-match probability vs result
Besiktas win
31%
Result
Draw
25%
Marseille win
44%
Goals we expected vs goals scored
Our forecast
1.4 – 1.7
Total 3.1
Actual
4 – 1
Total 5 (+1.9 against our forecast)
Chances created (xG)
2.3 – 0.9
From the match itself
The match produced 1.9 more goals than we forecast. That can be sharp finishing, set pieces or attacking quality we under-rated.