FT · TURKEY: Super Lig · Monday, 31 August 2026
Besiktas 6–2 Çorum FKMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Monday, 31 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Besiktas at 61%, draw at 22%, Çorum FK at 17%. The match ended 6-2 — confirming the model's lean toward Besiktas.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Besiktas win
61%
Actual ✓
Draw
22%
FK win
17%
> Expected vs actual goals
Model expected (xG)
2.04 – 1.00
Total 3.05
Actual
6 – 2
Total 8 (+5.0 vs xG)
Match overperformed xG by 5.0 goals. Above-expectation scoring — could be finishing, set-piece luck, or genuine attacking quality the model under-rated.
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Home Win
Pre-match: 61%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Over 3.5 Goals
Pre-match: 36%
✓ Won