D.C. United vs New England Revolution prediction — MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK

MLS · Thu 20 Aug · 00:30 UK
D.C. United 40Draw 27New England Revolution 33
The call
75%
Over 1.5 goals
2.7
Goals expected
Full time
Final 0–3

How it finished

New England Revolution beat D.C. United 3–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 15 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 3.0.

D.C. UnitedFull-time statsNew England…
40%Possession60%
1.6Expected goals (xG)3.0
15Shots18
3Shots on target7
12Shots inside box13
4Big chances4
4Corners5
4Saves3
15Fouls10
0Offsides3
1Yellow cards2
What we publishedBeforeAfter
ResultD.C. United 40%New England Revolution (33% called)
Total goals2.73
Both teams to score54%No
Model callOver 1.5 Goals 75%Landed
Second callOver 2.5 Goals 50%Landed

Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.

What we expected

MarketProbability
D.C. United to score76%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Under 3.5 goals72%
New England Revolution to score72%

Model inputs

Expected goals gap (xG)+0.2 / match
Head-to-head, last 5DDD 2 · D 1 · NEW 2
Opponent strength indexTop quartile

Head to head

Apr 2026New England Revolution 1–0 DC United
Aug 2025New England Revolution 2–0 DC United
May 2025DC United 1–1 New England Revolution
Oct 2024New England Revolution 1–2 DC United
Full-time recap →
Settles publicly at full time · Bitcoin-anchored · verify →

Common questions

Who won D.C. United vs New England Revolution?

New England Revolution beat D.C. United 3–0. Bawler's model favoured D.C. United at 40% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave New England Revolution 33%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 15 shots (3 on target) to New England Revolution's 18 (7), with 40% of the ball against 60%. Expected goals finished 1.6 to 3.0.

What was the final score in D.C. United vs New England Revolution?

D.C. United 0–3 New England Revolution, played on 20 Aug 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 40%, the draw 27% and New England Revolution 33%.

What were the stats in D.C. United vs New England Revolution?

Full-time: Possession 40%–60%, Expected goals (xG) 1.6–3.0, Shots 15–18, Shots on target 3–7, Shots inside box 12–13, Big chances 4–4, Corners 4–5, Saves 4–3, Fouls 15–10, Offsides 0–3, Yellow cards 1–2.

Did both teams score in D.C. United vs New England Revolution?

No. It finished 0–3, so D.C. United failed to score. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 54% before kickoff.

Was Bawler's prediction for D.C. United vs New England Revolution right?

Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Result — we said D.C. United 40%, it finished New England Revolution (33% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 54%, it finished No; Model call — we said Over 1.5 Goals 75%, it finished Landed; Second call — we said Over 2.5 Goals 50%, it finished Landed.

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →D.C. United form →New England Revolution form →