FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United prediction — MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK

MLS · Sun 6 Sept · 00:30 UK
FC Cincinnati 52Draw 24D.C. United 24
The call
52%
FC Cincinnati to win
3.1
Goals expected
13d 23hUntil lineups lock

Every market the model rates

FC Cincinnati or draw76%
Over 1.5 goals81%
Over 2.5 goals59%
BTTS60%
FC Cincinnati win to nil25%
D.C. United or draw48%
Under 3.5 goals63%
Correct score 1–110%

Model inputs

Home form (last 6)W W W L D W
Expected goals gap (xG)+0.6 / match
Head-to-head, last 5CIN 2 · D 1 · DDD 2
Opponent strength indexLower mid

Head to head

May 2025FC Cincinnati 1–2 DC United
Apr 2025DC United 0–1 FC Cincinnati
Jul 2024DC United 2–3 FC Cincinnati
Mar 2024FC Cincinnati 0–0 DC United
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Common questions

Who will win FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

Bawler's model rates this match: FC Cincinnati are favoured (52% win probability vs 24% for D.C. United, 24% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.

What is the predicted score for FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is FC Cincinnati 1-1 D.C. United (11.1% probability). Expected total goals: 3.08.

How does Bawler predict FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives FC Cincinnati 52%, the draw 24% and D.C. United 24%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.

Will both teams score in FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

BTTS: Yes (60% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.86 and away expected goals 1.22.

Over or under 2.5 goals in FC Cincinnati vs D.C. United?

Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 3.08. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).

Around this fixture

MLS table →
All fixtures & results →FC Cincinnati form →D.C. United form →