FT · USA: MLS · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Toronto FC 2–1 New England RevolutionMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Sunday, 16 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✓ Model called it
Pre-match, Bawler had Toronto FC at 40%, draw at 32%, New England Revolution at 28%. The match ended 2-1 — confirming the model's lean toward Toronto FC.
> Pre-match probability vs result
FC win
40%
Actual ✓
Draw
32%
Revolution win
28%
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 79%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Over 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 50%
✓ Won
Outside shot
Away Win
Pre-match: 23%
✗ Lost