FT · USA: MLS · Saturday, 08 August 2026
New England Revolution 0–2 Houston Dynamo FCMatch recap & Bawler model verdict · Saturday, 08 August 2026
> 🧠 Model verdict
✗ Result against the lean
Pre-match, Bawler had New England Revolution at 41%, draw at 32%, Houston Dynamo FC at 28%. Against expectation, the match finished 0-2. The model's headline call was New England Revolution to win.
> Pre-match probability vs result
Revolution win
41%
Draw
32%
FC win
28%
Actual ✓
> 🧾 What the model called · and how it landed
High confidence
Over 1.5 Goals
Pre-match: 68%
✓ Won
Medium confidence
Under 2.5 Goals
Pre-match: 53%
✓ Won
Outside shot
X2
Pre-match: 30%
✓ Won