What we expect
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who will win D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
Bawler's model rates this match: Columbus Crew are favoured (38% win probability vs 35% for D.C. United, 27% draw). The model uses rolling xG, recent form, and lineup data.
What is the predicted score for D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
The most likely scoreline from Bawler's model is D.C. United 1-1 Columbus Crew (12.9% probability). Expected total goals: 2.74.
How does Bawler predict D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
Bawler builds each side's expected goals from a rolling 26-match window, adjusts for home advantage and for injuries or absences in the confirmed squads, then runs the resulting scoreline distribution to get win, draw and both-teams-to-score probabilities. For this match that gives D.C. United 35%, the draw 27% and Columbus Crew 38%. Every prediction is published before kickoff and settled afterwards.
Will both teams score in D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
BTTS: Yes (56% probability) — both attacks should find the net. Based on home expected goals 1.33 and away expected goals 1.41.
Over or under 2.5 goals in D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
Bawler's model gives a combined expected-goals total of 2.74. The lean is Over 2.5 (a goal-fest is on the cards).