How it finished
D.C. United beat Columbus Crew 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave D.C. United 35%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 10 shots (5 on target) to Columbus Crew's 16 (4), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.8.
Published before kickoff and settled afterwards — misses included. Every call is time-stamped to the Bitcoin blockchain before the match so it cannot be edited later.
What we expected
What we expected before kickoff.
Each row is drawn on one scale, so a bar means the same length on both sides. Second-half goals are our full-match forecast minus our first half.
Our numbers, most likely first
What we published for this match, strongest first — our three strongest above the line.
First half — what we expected
Chance of at least one goal before half-time: 75%
First-half chances
How the match splits
How to read this
First-half numbers are our full-match forecast split by how much of each side's shooting and corners usually comes before the break. The small bars under each number are that side's most recent first halves (up to six).
Model inputs
Head to head
Common questions
Who won D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
D.C. United beat Columbus Crew 2–1. Bawler's model favoured Columbus Crew at 38% before kickoff and got it wrong — it gave D.C. United 35%. It forecast 2.7 goals and the match produced 3. D.C. United had 10 shots (5 on target) to Columbus Crew's 16 (4), with 28% of the ball against 72%. Expected goals finished 2.6 to 0.8.
What was the final score in D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
D.C. United 2–1 Columbus Crew, played on 10 Sept 2026 in the USA: MLS. Bawler's model had gone into it with D.C. United 35%, the draw 27% and Columbus Crew 38%.
What were the stats in D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
Full-time: Possession 28%–72%, Expected goals (xG) 2.6–0.8, Shots 10–16, Shots on target 5–4, Shots inside box 9–7, Big chances 3–0, Corners 3–5, Saves 3–3, Fouls 8–12, Offsides 2–1, Yellow cards 3–2.
Did both teams score in D.C. United vs Columbus Crew?
Yes — both D.C. United and Columbus Crew scored, finishing 2–1. Bawler's model had put both teams scoring at 56% before kickoff.
Was Bawler's prediction for D.C. United vs Columbus Crew right?
Every call is published before kickoff and graded afterwards, misses included. On this match: Our call — we said Columbus Crew or draw 65%, it finished D.C. United won (35% called); Total goals — we said 2.7, it finished 3; Both teams to score — we said 56%, it finished Yes; Graded pick — we said Over 1.5 goals 76%, it finished Landed; Second pick — we said Over 2.5 goals 52%, it finished Landed.