Bawler / USA: MLS / Columbus Crew
Team profile · USA: MLS

Columbus Crew Prediction

Form, fixtures and every settled pick · updated 13 August 2026

Matches
12
11 settled
Goals for
1.51
Expected, per match
Goals against
1.22
Expected, per match
High-confidence accuracy
64%
7/11 calls

Columbus Crew prediction: for Columbus Crew's next match — Charlotte vs Columbus Crew on Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC — Bawler's model makes it Charlotte are favoured (41%). The model's strongest call is Over 1.5 Goals.

Columbus Crew sit close to the MLS average on both sides of the ball, creating 1.51 expected goals a game and conceding 1.22. Next up is a trip to Charlotte FC, where the model has them as underdogs at 28%.

Next match

Away vs Charlotte · Saturday 15 Aug, 23:30 UTC

Win
28%
This team
Draw
31%
Loss
41%
Charlotte
High confidence · Over 1.5 Goals @ 81%
Full match preview

Form pulse

The last 5 settled results, most recent first.

Record
3W 2D 6L
Real goals
1.5 – 1.8
For / against, per match

Attack vs defence

How Columbus Crew compare with the USA: MLS average, per match.

Goals for
1.51
Above average
Goals against
1.22
Tighter than most
Scored1.51
Conceded1.22

The grey line on each bar is the USA: MLS average (1.48 scored, 1.45 conceded).

What the data says
Solid defensively
Conceding 1.22 xG per match · -0.24 vs league average of 1.45.
Model is strongest on: Goals (Over/Under)
High-confidence calls in this market are correct 100% of the time on Columbus Crew fixtures (5/5).
Tough market: Result
Columbus Crew matches give the model a harder read here — 2/6 (33%) correct. Treat forecasts in this market as less reliable.

📊 Columbus Crew in numbers

51 competitive matches · friendlies excluded
1.6
Goals · per game
let in 1.5
🏠 1.9✈️ 1.4
5.0
Corners · per game
give up 3.8
🏠 5.5✈️ 4.5
12.4
Shots · per game
faced 10.5
🏠 14.2✈️ 10.7
4.7
On target · per game
faced 4.3
🏠 5.3✈️ 4.1
🗓️ Last 6 games
12 Aug
2-1
vs UNAM Pumas
🚩 10-3
08 Aug
2-1
vs Pachuca
🚩 4-7
05 Aug
3-1
vs Atlas
🚩 3-5
01 Aug
2-2
@ Inter Miami
🚩 -
25 Jul
2-1
vs Cincinnati
🚩 4-5
22 Jul
1-2
vs New York City
🚩 3-0

Real counted numbers, updated daily · see them working on today's tips →

Model accuracy on Columbus Crew matches
64%
of high-confidence calls correct, over 11

When the model makes a high-confidence call on a Columbus Crew fixture, it is right 7 out of 11 (64%). Every prediction is logged before kickoff and settled publicly.

Model accuracy on Columbus Crew by market
Result33%2/6
Goals (Over/Under)100%5/5

How to read this: each row groups settled high-confidence calls the model made on Columbus Crew fixtures by market type, so you can see where the model has the strongest read on this team. Higher hit rate = more reliable category for Columbus Crew matches.

Recent matches (last 10)

Transfer activity

INBrais MéndezAMfrom Real Sociedad€6m
INGonzalo TapiaSTfrom Sao PauloLoan
INAndré GomesCMfrom LilleFree transfer
INSekou Bangourafrom RKC Waalwijk€1m
INEric BaillyCBfrom Free agentFree transfer
INLautaro GiacconeLWfrom Argentinos JuniorsLoan
INBrooks LennonRBfrom Free agentFree transfer
OUTDiego RossiSTto Monterrey€7m
OUTMax ArfstenLWBto Middlesbrough€6.5m
OUTNariman AkhundzadaSTto Erzurumspor FKLoan
OUTEvgen CheberkoCBto Los Angeles FCFree transfer
OUTIbrahim AliyuSTto Houston Dynamo FC€217

Confirmed deals only. All transfers and what they mean for our predictions →

Columbus Crew prediction markets

More from Bawler

Model estimates from rolling expected goals · every prediction logged before kickoff and settled publicly